He founded the Futility Infielder website (2001), was a columnist for Baseball Prospectus (2005-2012) and a contributing writer for Sports Illustrated (2012-2018). Wainwright had won nine of 10 decisions coming in. He trailed 5-0 on a pair of home runs by Tyrone Taylor, a grand slam in the first inning and a solo shot in the fourth. If this is the end, Wainwright is leaving behind a solid career. Adam Wainwright is the greatest St. Louis Cardinals pitcher since Bob Gibson, and arguably the greatest St. Louis Cardinals pitcher in history other than Bob Gibson. Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. Im skeptical only because of the history of how the Cardinals do this when a pitcher doesnt pitch, or takes a delay before his next assignment. Hes 28th in R-JAWS, 1.2 points behind the lowest-ranked enshrined reliever (Bruce Sutter), and at age 33, needs to rebound if hes to have a shot at election that is, if voters will overlook his 2016 suspension under MLBs domestic violence policy, which is uncharted territory for Hall candidates. But compared to Molina or especially Pujols, Adam Wainwright is an underdog. Likewise, his 42.4 bWAR is lower than the likes of Javier Vazquez, Al Leiter, and Frank Viola. The best pitcher in MLB? We always prefer to go the surgery route as the last possible resort. Still, hes won 230 games, led the league in wins twice, and won a Cy Young award and a World Series ring. Of course, Wainwright and the Cardinals gave it the nothing to see here treatment. St. Louis Cardinals analyst Brad Thompson joins Blair and Barker to talk about whether Adam Wainwright deserves a nod into the Baseball Hall of Fame, stating you can make the case for the veteran pitcher although hes not a sure-fire candidate yet. This may not seem particularly grandiose, and probably not even close to Cooperstown worthiness, but it should be noted that with sixty-five elected, starting pitcher is far and away the most commonly enshrined position in the Hall (it has also, pre-bullpen expansion, been the most common position, so this shouldnt be too surprising). By checking this box, I agree to the terms of service and privacy policy of Rogers Media. After suffering a setback around the trade deadline, he only returned to throwing on August 25; the Mets are holding out hope that the 33-year-old righty can rejoin them by mid-September. He was hit hard four balls hit off him registered exit velocities higher than 104 mph, including a 112.1 mph solo moonshot of a homer off the bat of Jos Abreu. The wins, strikeouts, ERA and innings were his best since 2014, which appeared to be the last full year of his peak. Sure there are. Adam Wainwright was born on the 30th of August, 1981. Saturday marked the end of an era for the St. Louis Cardinals. Both legends are heading off into the sunset, their final stop before they end up in Cooperstown in just a few short years. I suppose well get an update after Wainwright returns to camp after competing for Team USA in the World Baseball Classic. He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. During the 2022 regular season, 'Waino' finished with a record of 11-12 and 3.71 ERA in 191.2 innings, while also racking up 143 strikeouts. 82-53, 2.99 ERA, 1,380 strikeouts, 138 adjusted ERA. Drew move to Atlanta. As his 136 OPS+ and 26 homers attest, he can still rake even at age 40, but with 443 career dingers, hes two seasons away from reaching 500 (42% odds, via ZiPS). The performance was unsurprisingly unsustainable. Hell get some work in between now and then, and hopefully that will get him on track. Adam WainWright's MLB stats are Win-loss record 195-115, Earned run average 3.35 and Strikeouts 2,142. Hes racked up four seasons worth 67 WAR, plus a fifth at 5.7 and a sixth at 4.9; to improve that peak score substantially, he needs big seasons. I am a big fan, not as a universal absolute but as a general guideline, of the Jay Jaffe JAWS system, a thing I have mentioned repeatedly in my writing, though I also prefer to use a hybrid model which incorporates a players career performance and his seven best individual seasons (his peak) as measured not only by Baseball Reference but by FanGraphs (in most non-catcher cases, over the course of a career, this doesnt make a huge difference, but in the most discussed cases, the margins are so thin that I am happy to look at as much data as possible). He struck out 14 in his MLB debut and it seemed evident that he and Bryce Harper were going to lead the team to not only a World Series championship, but multiple titles. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. Ive covered the Mets for a variety of outlets since 1997. May need surgery, but were not close to making any kind of decision on that. Thats an average of 174 innings per year. However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing-and-miss stuff and faded to a 17.8 percent strikeout rate. Chapman notched his 300th save on August 26, but hes had an unimpressive season, walking 16.2% of hitters en route to a 3.68 ERA and 4.16, all career worsts. But Adam Wainwright's story also isn't complete. Ad Choices Five years ago, Max Scherzer had no Hall of Fame case. After the divorce, his mother, Nancy, became a real estate agent and raised the boys on her own. For the last 35 years Bernie Miklasz has entertained, enlightened, and connected with generations of St. Louis sports fans. How many times have we heard a version of this spin when a St. Louis pitcher has some discomfort or just needs a little time to build himself up in spring training? . But Wainwright proved his solid 2020 wasnt a brief mirage. Updated: Friday, March 3, 2023 11:11 PM ET, Park Factors document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to follow this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. Hes undergone Tommy John surgery, and his career total of 76 wins is underwhelming. Injuries have me dubious that Chris Sale will ever accumulate the WAR necessary to reach the Cooperstown threshold, but hes only barely going to be 33 come Opening Day, so Im not closing the book just yet. Even in the he falls short but not short enough to not make it hypothetical, the easiest path is likely for Adam Wainwright to post 8.1 WAR under both methods. Hes even seen somewhat of a career resurgence after struggling from 2014-2015, he rebounded to lead the AL in strikeouts in 16. On 30-8-1981 Adam Wainwright (nickname: Adam) was born in Brunswick, Georgia, United States. Sabathia has a chance to become the 17th pitcher in history to record 3,000 strikeouts, which would give his candidacy a boost. Write some stories about it! Wainwright said. Wainwright could become the sixth to add the Hall of Fame to their resume. Hes actually been tougher to hit than in any season since 2016, but his 14% walk rate has created more traffic than ever, and hes blown five of 35 save chances, though three of those were in consecutive outings in mid-July, accounting for seven of the 16 earned runs hes allowed. However, their overall record forced the Cards to play a Wild Card series against Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies. Maybe he has it in him to stick around for another 20 wins to get to 200, but he might not even crack the top 100 in JAWS while doing so. Strasburg hasnt been a disappointment, but he also hasnt lit the world on fire. Yadier Molina, catcher (58.1 career fWAR (incl. Velocity? Of the four active starters who are within hailing distance of the JAWS standard (61.1), none has done more to help himself in 2021 than Scherzer, who has been stellar in his age-36 season, pitching to a 2.40 ERA and 3.12 FIP in 146 innings for the Nationals and Dodgers. We've sent an email with instructions to create a new password. Before going down, he made solid progress towards the 200-win and 3,000 strikeout milestones; hes at 184 and 2,653, respectively, the latter thanks to a 30.1% strikeout rate, his best since 2016. Chris Sale keeps getting better with age, and with the way hes ben mowing down hitters in a 2017 free agent year, hes going to earn a lucrative $200 million deal in the offseason. As a result, Ive chosen not to include him on this article. What a career Adam Wainwright and Yadier Molina have shared together! Replacing those lost or disrupted seasons with three average Wainwright seasons a 13-7 mark with 138 strikeouts over 164 innings would have Wainwright at 223-126 with 2,418 strikeouts. Its an impressive resume, and one that has him as a top-10 starting pitcher of the last decade, but its just not enough for Cooperstown. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. All rights reserved. While wins arent everything, Ive chosen to list them chronologically by career win total as a benchmark of evaluation. Adam Wainwright is the quintessential "Hall of Fame candidate for Cardinals fans" Hall of Fame candidate of the current team. While he has never won a Cy Young Award, he was in the top 3 on four occasions. In fairness, the Cardinals are correct in their initial thinking. Adam Wainwright is one of the more curious pitchers in baseball, and a recent thread raised a couple questions to me. Wainwright has certainly had a long and successful career, but has it been enough to warrant enshirement in the Hall of Fame? At 41-years-old, Adam Wainwright's statistics suggest no signs of slowing down. Wainwright went 41-28 with a 4.58 ERA (an ERA+ of 90, or 10 percent below league average) from 2016 through 2019. Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburgh's Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. His cutter was next, dropping from his 2022 average of 84.3 mph to 80.8 mph, and his curveball decreased from 72.9 mph to 70.2 mph.. He has similar numbers (albeit slightly worse) than Roy Halladay. Only Price (2018) and Bumgarner (2019) have pitched enough to qualify for an ERA title once since the 2017 season. Privacy Policy 3rd stage: Well, his arm hasnt rebounded the way we were hoping for, so were just going to shut him down and see how he responds. For now, all eyes are on Flaherty and Wainwright. For this exercise, Im focused mainly on mid- or late-career players rather than early-career ones. Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina played their final game in the majors, a disappointing 2-0 loss to eliminate them from the Wild Card round. Hes never pitched for a World Series champion, and his career postseason statistics wont help him hes 2-8 with a 5.54 ERA, and hes gotten completely shelled on multiple occasions. Interestingly enough, he missed the entire 2011 season for the world champion St. Louis Cardinals, but he did play an integral role as a closer in the 2006 playoffs, throwing 9.2 scoreless innings in the playoffs. His 2011 season, in which he went 24-5 with a 2.40 ERA and led the league in a slew of categories wins, ERA, games started, innings pitched, strikeouts, WHIP, adjusted ERA, and hits allowed per nine innings earned him a distinction that hadnt been accomplished since Roger Clemens in 1986. The hot air balloon . Madison Bumgarner is still just 27 years old, but hes already etched his name into baseball lore as one of the greatest big-game pitchers of all-time. Yadier Molina is arguably one of the best defensive catchers in the history of baseball. Even 250 wins is a rare accomplishment at this point. Unless Adam Wainwright continues to play for a few more seasons and perform at an elite level, the Hall of Fame may elude him, though he will certainly find his name on the voting ballot when eligible. This year he was so good that he accrued 5.1 WAR (including 0.6 on the offensive side) in his 15 starts before going down, his fourth-highest total. He was the first pitcher aged 39 or older since Mike Mussina in 2008 to throw at least 200 innings with an ERA+ of 125 or better. On Wednesday, I took a swing at a question often asked of me: Which players have helped their Hall of Fame cases the most this year? Covering the latest and most controversial news around the world of sports, heavily centered on the Philadelphia Eagles and National Football League. Greinke was dominant for the 2009 Kansas City Royals, winning the league ERA crown (2.16) and leading the AL in WHIP (1.073), and even better for the 2015 Los Angeles Dodgers, posting a ridiculous 1.66 ERA and at one point throwing 43.2 consecutive scoreless innings over six starts. An Alternate Hall of Fame populated by a mathematical formula. Actually, it's two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. I like that its a round number, but I assure you that this is merely a coincidence. Among those who are retired and eligible for Cooperstown, the 65th greatest starter of all-time is actually a pretty sufficiently big nameDwight Gooden. One other thing to note: since my reference point for old WAR and JAWS figures dates back to January 2021, some portion of these players gains may be due to updates to bWAR itself, particularly via changes to 19 and 20 park factors and tweaks to 201720 Defensive Runs Saved that were announced in March, but also due to a second update to 2020 park factors that just went live on Tuesday. I want to confine my results to the integration era, as, while this whole exercise is based on some level of silliness, I dont think asking Adam Wainwright to win 40 games and pitch 400 innings is particularly fair. SUMMARY 2022 Career WAR 1.8 46.7 W 11 195 L 12 117 ERA 3.71 3.38 G 32 457 GS (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images) Adam Wainwright was one of many players lucky enough to have shared a clubhouse with Scott Rolen, the newest member of the Baseball Hall of Fame.. Nelson Cruz, right field (42.2 career | 30.1 Peak | 36.1 JAWS, +1.3 JAWS). Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). At age 33, hes signed for another four years after this campaign, so he should have sufficient time to make a run at 3,000 strikeouts and another Cy Young award. It is possible that the same will be the case for a third Cardinals legend. To be clear, Adam Wainwright will certainly make it onto the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, and based on the ease with which even seemingly fringe candidates are able to garner them, will probably get some votes. Guerrero was seen walking toward the clubhouse with an athletic trainer in the second inning and was replaced defensively by Rainer Nunez to start the third. Well know more about Jacks Comeback after he makes his first two or three pitching appearances in the Florida game. Though hes overcome health scares and worked hard to expand his arsenal to become less reliant upon his cutter, Jansen has continued to take Dodgers fans on a rollercoaster this season. Sometimes a little spring-training soreness is nothing more than a little spring-training soreness. Godspeed, Waino. Via his 10 All-Star selections, nine Gold Gloves, two World Series rings, and reputation for handling pitching staffs, Molinas already been anointed presumptive first-ballot honoree status.

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